Quantifying Home Field Advantage in the NFL Using Linear Models in R
If you pay attention to NFL football, you’re probably used to hearing that homefield advantage is worth about 3 points. I’ve always been interested in this number, and how it was derived. So, using some data from FiveThirtyEight, along with some linear modeling in R, I attempted to quantify home field advantage. My analysis shows that home field advantage (how much we expect the home team to win by, if the teams are evenly matched) is about 2.
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